Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 16.151783 18.832576 21.749509 25.150022 28.995869 33.200799 38.136235
2025-03-02 11.415086 15.028514 19.367612 24.916575 31.774192 39.918227 50.263244
2025-03-09 8.645542 12.569351 17.669289 24.680031 33.948155 45.649997 61.389905
2025-03-16 6.378561 10.151470 15.416612 23.128411 33.930501 48.290275 68.541147
2025-03-23 5.431746 9.318634 15.068023 23.929112 36.920215 54.894011 81.175326
2025-03-30 4.777256 8.769059 14.987666 25.008924 40.290160 62.163555 95.135055
2025-04-06 3.909172 7.701039 13.933078 24.441973 41.111382 65.789052 104.114220
2025-04-13 3.103356 6.573027 12.593390 23.215038 40.729371 67.520100 110.337913
2025-04-20 2.846831 6.379478 12.770454 24.439784 44.249220 75.295117 125.972013
2025-04-27 2.673253 6.308434 13.139163 26.002017 48.409314 84.286368 143.941783
2025-05-04 2.375506 5.932418 12.896869 26.452581 50.724248 90.472818 157.856985
2025-05-11 2.064849 5.468239 12.419421 26.410676 52.162102 95.291284 169.818547
2025-05-18 1.744791 4.941460 11.789812 26.100268 53.253752 99.863503 182.099228
2025-05-25 1.476100 4.478904 11.231391 25.880875 54.528723 104.904813 195.606490
2025-06-01 1.248858 4.061802 10.699682 25.640532 55.726029 109.872909 209.271192
2025-06-08 0.970008 3.430979 9.581658 24.037826 54.153755 109.822727 214.301702
2025-06-15 0.881525 3.305802 9.609056 24.865478 57.382852 118.570490 235.101883
2025-06-22 0.817835 3.237829 9.762321 25.981278 61.268945 128.736196 258.915471
2025-06-29 0.681423 2.903844 9.194430 25.395479 61.611113 132.308962 271.055003
2025-07-06 0.540463 2.505796 8.382816 24.127526 60.388433 132.803563 277.562036
2025-07-13 0.511884 2.494471 8.616070 25.393219 64.696152 144.206852 304.812056
2025-07-20 0.495984 2.526548 8.976027 27.007250 69.879384 157.586800 336.347728
2025-07-27 0.445438 2.408787 8.884529 27.472668 72.539701 166.097752 359.030347